As far as I know, the transition to the 6th technological order begins. Is full automation of production possible thanks to its technologies?

As far as I know, the transition to the 6th technological order begins. Is full automation of production possible thanks to its technologies?

Moving from InDesign to Affinity Publisher with Mike Rankin

Previous questionWhy did the Orthodox priest, who was conducting services on the aircraft carrier, not save the aircraft carrier "Admiral Kuznetsov" from accidents and fires?
Next questionHow many more years will the IT specialty be in demand?

answers (2)

Answer 1
August, 2021

In some places this is possible, but not always.

Automation of production can be carried out in several ways:

Partial. Only some equipment is subjected to automation, which performs a number of actions that are inaccessible or difficult for humans.

Complex. Covers the production chain of a separate workshop or unit that performs a series of actions to solve a specific problem.

Complete. The transition of control and management to special equipment covering all stages of production is underway. This happens in the case of a stable and practical regime, as well as when working conditions are extremely dangerous or unbearable for the employee.

More about automation https://1c.itplan.ru

Answer 2
August, 2021

The theory of technological orders is more of an internal Russian idea that emerged from the USSR. Developed by S. Glazyev and a certain Venezuelan economist Carlota Perez. Glazyev's economic fabrications are not supported by many (how did he become an academician?), And Venezuela is indicative in itself. Although that Venezuelan may be talented, neither one nor the other country is the leader in scientific and technological progress, but some representatives are trying to reflect on related cyclical processes in the economy and technology. In my opinion, few people in the world care about this: they somehow manage successfully without such theories. However, I’m not a theoretical economist, maybe I’m wrong, but I just don’t see the point in attributing technology to any kind of order, because progress is actually not very predictable. By the way, economics is also more of a historical science: it can more or less predict processes in the economy, which repeat the experience already passed, that is, it can say that these "red rakes" should not be stepped on - they hit the head, but when suddenly the rake is blue and it is necessary to predict what will happen as a result of something that has never happened (as a result of some new economic situations), then the economy most often fails, and therefore crises occur (not with us, we are on the same we walk a rake).
On the second question, I can say more specifically: so far full automation does not threaten us (humanity), if by automation we mean the complete absence of people in production.
If we talk about the drastic reduction of people, in which they do not in the production process as participants in technological operations, it is possible, and everything is really moving towards this. That is, in principle, it is not a problem to establish production, where all operations are performed by robots and mechanisms, but any mechanism requires maintenance, observation, repair, etc. Unfortunately, or maybe fortunately, so far robots are not able to develop, adjust and repair themselves. This requires a flexible human mind or artificial intelligence, but I think it's too early to talk about advanced AI. Yes, there are self-learning systems, but they are still far from human intelligence. And human hands are much more versatile than any robot, which is important for repairs.
In addition, one must remember that no production works in a vacuum: an enterprise needs drivers, logistics, marketing specialists, advertisers, accountants, programmers, etc. , and someone should skillfully manage them.
Control of an airplane can be cited as an example. In fact, pilots have not been needed for a long time, and they are the ones who are responsible for most of the disasters. But there is one mistake: it is likely that they save many more people in situations where automation cannot cope or would not cope, but we hardly know about this, since most problem situations are simply not voiced, for example, such as leaving for a second circle, to an alternate airfield, flyby of a thunderstorm front, etc. In an emergency, a person is able to think outside the box, which is not possiblebna, not a single automatics, and also an experienced person has intuition, without thinking, prompting him what to do or what is better not to do in any situation. For the sake of justice, it should be added that abandoning pilots is also impossible for psychological reasons: most people are afraid to fly without a pilot.
The second example is cars. No matter how hard the engineers try, an experienced driver still manages better in difficult situations. Especially enraged are "roadside assistance systems" with braking, in certain conditions (for example, "snow slurry" on the road), making it difficult, not improving control. Therefore, somewhere in California, a car without a driver is possible, but in our climate it is unlikely. Actually, all this I mean is that the capabilities of automation are still very limited and it is too early to write off us, people, for (un) deserved rest.

Related question

Is it possible to become a genetic engineer if you did not study well at school and you know chemistry at the 6th grade level?

Read more

Is it possible to find out the address of a person, knowing the city in which he lives, mobile, full name?

Read more

I decided to blow up Mars, how is it possible to do this with the current development of technology?

Read more

Welcome to the Anthropocene | Debate with philosophers Peter Sloterdijk and Bernard Stiegler

I have an idea for a small online store. Where to order it and how to maintain it as inexpensively as possible?

Read more

Is it possible to return the old design in the full version of VK?

Read more

What to read about future technological orders, industrial / technological revolutions of the future and the past?

Read more

With the development of what technologies is it possible to build an "elevator" to the Moon?

Read more

I want to refine the facade of the house in the country. I am considering different options. So far I stopped at architectural concrete. Has anyone already used this technology? How is she?

Read more

Ray Kurzweil (USA) at Ci2019 - The Future of Intelligence, Artificial and Natural

Why is the development of technology (from cars to gadgets), the production of parts for it and their direct assembly taking place in different countries?

Read more

Is it realistic to establish the place of production of the chemical, as in the case of Novichok?

Read more

I am frightened by the questions of the universe, the beginning of the beginnings, the meaning of life, the insignificance of a person. Sometimes it is panic. I want to forget, my thoughts return. What to do? Is this normal?

Read more

What key technologies have predetermined the fate of modern humanity? (For example, on the transition from the Middle Ages to the New Time)?

Read more

Would you develop Neurolink technology knowing that it takes 500 ~ 1000 years to develop? Or is it better to switch to smaller and simpler technologies?

Read more

Business Process Reengineering Webinar (December 18, 2019)

Is it realistic now to start working as a freelancer or is everything already full?

Read more

Is it possible to pay without the Internet using NFC technology?

Read more

Why is Apple still so successful and its products are so popular when Samsung is already ahead of the technology and costs less?

Read more

What is the most incredible of the existing technologies that no one knows about?

Read more

Why is it impossible to carry out a massive transition to electric stoves, given the danger of using gas?

Read more

Predictive Maintenance and Monitoring using AI and Machine Learning

Isn't it profitable for antivirus companies to secretly write virus programs in order to increase sales of their product?

Read more

Will you order sanctioned products over the Internet, as allowed by customs, or are you already accustomed to doing without a ban?

Read more